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中国工业与应用数学学会会刊
主管：中华人民共和国教育部
主办：西安交通大学
ISSN 1005-3085  CN 61-1269/O1
工程数学学报

工程数学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2): 383-396.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-3085.2026.02.013cstr: 32411.14.cjem.CN61-1269/O1.2026.02.013

• • 上一篇    

考虑船主心理感知的通航拥堵收费及翻坝补贴机制研究

赵  旭,  底旭昊,  高  攀   

  1. 三峡大学经济与管理学院，宜昌  443002
  • 收稿日期:2023-05-29 接受日期:2024-06-23 出版日期:2026-04-15 发布日期:2026-06-15
  • 通讯作者: 高攀 E-mail: 747021136@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金 (72004116)；湖北省高校优秀中青年科技创新团队计划项目 (T2022006).

Study on the Mechanism of Navigation Congestion Charge and Dam Overturning Return Considering Shipowners' Psychological Perception

ZHAO Xu,  DI Xuhao,  GAO Pan   

  1. School of Economics and Management, China Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002
  • Received:2023-05-29 Accepted:2024-06-23 Online:2026-04-15 Published:2026-06-15
  • Contact: P. Gao. E-mail address: 747021136@qq.com
  • Supported by:
    The National Natural Science Foundation of China (72004116); the University Outstanding Young and Middle-aged Science and Technology Innovation Team Project of Hubei Province (T2022006).

摘要：

针对船闸通航服务能力不足而导致的通航拥堵问题，研究了“拥堵收费–翻坝补贴”联动机制。首先，应用前景理论分析船主通航行为，建立基于“拥堵收费–翻坝补贴”的优化模型，揭示了不同拥堵收费和翻坝补贴水平下，两种过坝方式的货运分担规律。然后，根据船舶到达数量，划分了通航拥堵预警等级，并探索了过坝方式选择概率、过坝总成本的变化趋势及通航碳减排效益。最后，以三峡枢纽为例，验证了上述模型的有效性。结果表明：在不同预警等级下，随着拥堵收费的增加，五级船闸过坝选择概率不断降低。实施合理的“拥堵收费–翻坝补贴”政策，可使过坝总成本和碳排放各自最高降低62.7%和49.5%，在实现货运分担均衡的同时，产生了良好的经济与生态效益。

关键词: 水路运输, 通航调度, 拥堵收费再分配, 碳减排, 前景理论

Abstract:

Aiming at solving the problem of navigation congestion caused by insufficient navigation service capacity of locks, the linkage mechanism of `congestion charge-overturning subsidy' is studied. The prospect theory is used to analyze the navigation behavior of shipowners, and an optimization model based on congestion charge-overturning subsidy is established to reveal the freight sharing law of the two dam-crossing modes under different congestion charge and overturn subsidy levels. According to the number of ships arriving, the warning level of navigation congestion is then divided. The selection probability of dam-crossing mode, the change trend of total cost of dam-crossing and the benefit of navigation carbon emission reduction are explored. Finally, taking the Three Gorges Project as an example, the validity of the above model is verified. The results show that under different warning levels, with the increase of congestion charges, the probability of dam-crossing selection of the five-level lock decreases continuously. Furthermore, the implementation of a reasonable congestion charging-dumping subsidy policy can reduce the total cost of crossing the dam and carbon emissions by up to 62.7% and 49.5%, respectively. While achieving a balanced freight sharing, it produces both good economic and ecological benefits.

Key words: waterway transportation, navigation dispatching, redistribution of congestion charges, carbon emission, prospect theory

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