Association Journal of CSIAM
Supervised by Ministry of Education of PRC
Sponsored by Xi'an Jiaotong University
ISSN 1005-3085  CN 61-1269/O1

Chinese Journal of Engineering Mathematics ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (4): 741-756.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-3085.2024.04.010

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Asymptotic Spreading Speed of a Time Periodic SIRS Reaction-diffusion Epidemic Model

WANG Shuangming1,  LI Shangzhi2,  WANG Jie3   

  1. 1. Collaborative Innovation Center of Finance in Gansu, School of Finance, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou 730101
    2. School of Mathematics, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189
    3. School of Science, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050
  • Received:2023-06-04 Accepted:2023-12-15 Online:2024-08-15
  • Supported by:
    The National Natural Science Foundation of China (12161051); the Research Program of Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics (Lzufe2023C-007); the Higher Education Research Project of Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics (LJY202202); the Scientific Research and Innovation Team of Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics (202002); the Financial Statistics Research Integration Team of Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics (XKKYRHTD202304).

Abstract:

The asymptotic spread properties are investigated for an SIRS reaction-diffusion infectious disease model simulating the disease propagation in temporally periodic environment by using the theory of asymptotic speed of spread. Different from two-dimensional SI type systems, the R component in current model cannot be decoupled from the entire system. This means to overcome the difficulties caused by the coupling of high-dimension and non-autonomy to establish the existence of asymptotic speed of spread for current high-dimensional system. Firstly, the asymptotic spread characteristics of I component is obtained in disease-free region by using the abstract theory of asymptotic spreading speed of monotone systems and comparison principle. Further,the asymptotic spread property of R component in disease-free region is verified through the use of the entire solution and the maximum principle. Secondly, the propagation properties of the invaded region are analyzed by applying comparison principle and uniformly persistent idea to I and R equations, respectively. As a result, the value of asymptotic spreading speed by which we divide the two regions is obtained. In addition, numerical experiments are tested for more specific propagation dynamics of the invaded area in temporally periodic environment.

Key words: time-periodic, SIRS reaction-diffusion epidemic model, asymptotic spreading speed, principle of comparison, uniform persistence

CLC Number: