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中国工业与应用数学学会会刊
主管:中华人民共和国教育部
主办:西安交通大学
ISSN 1005-3085  CN 61-1269/O1

工程数学学报 ›› 2016, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2): 111-120.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-3085.2016.02.001

• •    下一篇

弹性退休制下退休年金的随机精算模型与模拟测算

孙  荣   

  1. 重庆工商大学数学与统计学院,重庆 400067
  • 收稿日期:2015-01-27 接受日期:2015-11-05 出版日期:2016-04-15 发布日期:2016-06-15
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学研究西部和边疆地区项目 (13xjc910001);重庆市教委科技项目 (KJ1400619).

The Stochastic Actuarial Models and Simulation about Retirement Annuity under Flexible Retirement System

SUN Rong   

  1. College of Mathematics and Statistics, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067
  • Received:2015-01-27 Accepted:2015-11-05 Online:2016-04-15 Published:2016-06-15
  • Supported by:
    The Humanities and Social Sciences Programs Funds of Chinese Ministry of Education in West and Frontier Regions (13xjc910001); the Science and Technology Project Funds of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission (KJ1400619).

摘要: 弹性退休制是应对老龄化的社会养老保险制度改革未来选择之一,因此研究该制度下的退休年金精算问题具有重要的理论与现实意义.本文运用二项分布拟合退休年龄,带跳的非连续随机微分方程拟合利率,带跳Feller过程拟合死力强度,分析了弹性退休制下退休年金寿险精算函数,给出了生命年金、退休年金、退休年金二阶矩精算现值与均衡净保费的表达式,并利用模型对相关精算函数进行模拟测算.这些公式为弹性退休制下的保险金、均衡保险费等提供了精算分析的理论基础,从而为我国养老保险制度改革的制度设计、防控养老保险帐户风险提供了依据.

关键词: 弹性退休制, 退休年金, 精算模型

Abstract:

The flexible retirement system is one of the options of society endowment insurance system to deal with the aging. Therefore, the pension annuity under the system has important impact on theory and practice. This paper investigates the actuarial function of retirement annuity under the flexible retirement system. Under the hypothesis that the distribution of the retirement age is binomial distribution, the interest rate is decided by the discontinuous stochastic differential equations with jumps, and the death intensity is decided by Feller process with a jump. The formulas of the retirement annuity are proposed, including the life annuities, insurance, net premiums and insurance actuarial present value of second moment, and the simulatived estimation for the relevant actuarial functions is derived. These formulas provide the basis of the actuarial analysis of insurance and balance insurance under the flexible retirement system, thus they can be applied for the old-age insurance system and control of risk pension account in China.

Key words: flexible retirement system, retirement annuity, actuarial models

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