Association Journal of CSIAM
Supervised by Ministry of Education of PRC
Sponsored by Xi'an Jiaotong University
ISSN 1005-3085  CN 61-1269/O1

Chinese Journal of Engineering Mathematics ›› 2015, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (6): 845-860.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-3085.2015.06.006

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Steady-state Solutions of an SIR Epidemic Model with Spatial Heterogeneity

JIANG Dan-hua,   NIE Hua   

  1. College of Mathematics and Information Science, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710119
  • Received:2014-01-20 Accepted:2015-03-20 Online:2015-12-15 Published:2016-02-15
  • Supported by:
    The Program of New Century Excellent Talents of Ministry of Education of China (NCET-12-0894); the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (GK201303008); the Natural Science Basic Research Plan in Shaanxi Province (2015JM6273).

Abstract:

To study the impact of spatial heterogeneity of environment and the movement of individuals on the persistence and extinction of a disease, we propose a spatial SIR reaction diffusion model. First, the basic reproduction number $R_{0}$ is defined and the effects of the diffusion of infected individuals on $R_{0}$ are analyzed. It is shown that if $R_{0}<1$, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. If $R_{0}>1$, the disease-free equilibrium is unstable. Second, the existence and stability of endemic equilibrium are studied by the bifurcation theory for low risk domains. The results show that reducing the diffusion of the infected individuals is not the optimal strategy of eradicating diseases. But the instability of the endemic equilibrium implies that the disease can be controlled eventually.

Key words: SIR epidemic model, basic reproduction number, disease-free equilibrium, endemic equilibrium, bifurcation

CLC Number: