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中国工业与应用数学学会会刊
主管:中华人民共和国教育部
主办:西安交通大学
ISSN 1005-3085  CN 61-1269/O1

工程数学学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (4): 545-558.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-3085.2023.04.003

• • 上一篇    下一篇

基于多种相依保险业务和竞争的最优再保险策略研究

杨  鹏   

  1. 西安财经大学数学学院,西安  710100
  • 收稿日期:2022-04-05 接受日期:2022-12-29 出版日期:2023-08-15 发布日期:2023-10-15
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学研究西部和边疆地区项目(21XJC910001);陕西省自然科学基础研究计划资助项目(2023-JC-YB-002).

Research on Optimal Reinsurance Strategy Based on Multi-dependent Insurance Business and Competition

YANG Peng   

  1. School of Mathematics, Xi'an University of Finance and Economics, Xi'an 710100
  • Received:2022-04-05 Accepted:2022-12-29 Online:2023-08-15 Published:2023-10-15
  • Supported by:
    The Humanities and Social Sciences Project in Western and Border Areas of the Ministry of Education of China (21XJC910001); the Natural Science Basic Research Program of Shaanxi (2023-JC-YB-002).

摘要:

研究保险公司与再保险公司之间竞争下,最优再保险策略的制定问题。保险市场上一家保险公司经营$n$种相依保险业务。对每种保险业务,该公司采取比例再保险减少索赔风险。保险公司和再保险公司通过在无风险资产上投资增加财富。基于相对业绩,量化了保险公司与再保险公司之间的竞争,得到了保险公司的相对财富过程,建立了保险公司的随机优化问题,即寻找最优再保险策略最大化,终端财富的均值,同时最小化终端财富的方差。利用随机分析和随机控制理论,建立了值函数满足的推广的Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman(HJB)方程和验证定理,然后利用随机优化理论得到了最优时间一致再保险策略和相应最优值函数的显式解,并从理论上探讨了最优再保险策略的保险和经济意义。对于两种保险业务情形,探讨了索赔额大小之间以及索赔额分布之间的相依关系,并给出了相应的最优再保险策略。最后,通过数值实验分析了保险业务的相依性、竞争程度和保险业务的数量对最优时间一致再保险策略的影响。研究结果可以有效地指导保险公司的再保险实践。

关键词: 多种相依保险业务, 竞争, 再保险, 随机分析, 随机控制

Abstract:

Under a competition between an insurance company and a reinsurance company, the formulation problem of the optimal reinsurance strategy is studied. There is an insurance company in the insurance market that operates $n$ kinds of dependent insurance businesses. For each insurance business, the insurance company reduces the claim risk by adopting proportional reinsurance. The insurance company and reinsurance company increase their wealth by investing in a common risk-free asset. Based on the relative performance, we quantify the competition between the insurance company and the reinsurance company, and derive the relative wealth process of the insurance company. Furthermore, we establish the stochastic optimization problem that the insurance company care about, i.e., find the optimal reinsurance strategy to maximize the expected terminal wealth while minimizing the variance of the terminal wealth. Using stochastic calculus and stochastic control theory, we establish the extended Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation and verification theorem that the value function satisfies, and then using the stochastic optimization theory, we obtain the explicit solution of the optimal time-consistent reinsurance strategy and the corresponding optimal value function, and theoretically discuss the insurance and economic significance of the optimal reinsurance strategy. Furthermore, for the two insurance business case, the dependence of claim amounts and claim distributions are discussed, respectively, and the corresponding optimal reinsurance strategy is given. Finally, we analyze the influence of insurance business dependence, competition degree and the number of insurance businesses on the optimal time-consistent reinsurance strategy through numerical experiments. The research results can effectively guide the reinsurance practice of insurance companies.

Key words: multi-dependent insurance business, competition, reinsurance, stochastic calculus, stochastic control

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